Guinea-Bissau is my risk analysis country, but i thought i would talk about them because they have been making the news quite a bit lately. The country suffered another military coup in April 2012, and have since been in a state of turmoil. The transitional government heading the country has been looked on with questionable eyes from the rest of the world, the countries already massive drug problems have worsened, and they are at risk of losing immperative financial aid. There have been talks with the focus on establishing constitutional rule back into the country, but no progress has been made thus far. The UN expressed concern today that things are not moving quickly enough, and I worry that the corruption in government and the integration of the drug trade in Guinea-Bissau is making the possibility of a legitimate government in this country non-existent. China is also involved in giving this country aid, and with low levels of care about the country itself, it seems China is trying to aquire natural resources with this aid rather than help them establish a government. Without massive assistance from the rest of the world, I think we may be seeing the beginning of the end for this country for a long time.
Source
http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=43770&Cr=bissau&Cr1=#.UMuRjrsqRlw
This is very sad for Guinea-Bissau, they are not getting attention that they need. China, the UN, and other actors involved with Guinea-Bissau are the real problem it seems like because they either do not care, are demanding progress but not helping, or just ignoring it completely. China is definitely a toxic element to many African countries with a big example shown in this post, they are only interested in themselves and will destroy a country for money made to them instead of using money to stabilize the country so it does not fall. The UN makes demands but what effort are they putting forth right now besides criticizing things not moving fast enough. Nobody seems to care now that Guinea-Bissau will fall because they dont want to shell out the time, money, and effort to fix it, but when it does fall and end, I feel there will be severe consequences that will affect everyone and start a chain reaction. Everyone is seeing what is happening in Mali right now with the takeover and corruption that ruined its democracy, it also needs help and is not getting it.
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