Tuesday, October 2, 2012


Kenya: Elections Create Violence…Again

With presidential elections approaching this March, tensions in Kenya are rising. Unfortunately, as it is all too familiar, violence and Kenyan elections have gone hand in hand.


Every election in Kenya since the 1990’s has been preceded with violence.  Similar to the previous election four years ago, villages are burning down, killing sprees are common, and communities are continually being displaced. The Human Rights Watch has estimated roughly 300 deaths and 12,000 displaced peoples. As one of the largest economies in east Africa, the thought of this violence leading to instability is scary for the future of not only Kenya, but also neighboring countries.
       There have been long term controversies between the Pokomo and Orma tribe, mainly stemming from a lack of natural resources; they constantly fight over water and grazing rights.  With differing motives, the Orma, being semi-nomadic, are constantly looking for pasture for their cattle, and the Pokomo need the pasture to grow cash crops.
Generally the elders of the tribe have been able to come to a peaceful decision, but now they are feeling pushed aside by the politicians.  Victims of attacks on both sides have told the Human Rights Watch that the local politicians have been fueling the fighting. The majority of fighting has occurred over the Tana delta, which is a valuable and fertile are of land at the base of Kenya’s largest river. Recently the Tana delta has been a jackpot for commercial interests in the industries of sugar, rice, and bio-fuel crops; as of right now over “60% of the delta has been taken over by large-scale agriculture.” This is an incentive and opportunity for those with political control.  It is in high hopes that the violence going on in Tana will not lead to massacres in other parts of the country before the upcoming March election. Another big concern is that the sophistication of the weapons indicates that Somalia has become involved.
       As we have seen in the past, the scenario of politicians using their power to exploit natural resources for their personal gain is a slippery and dangerous slope.  The temptation of corruption has been hard to ignore in the region’s history.  As of right now, the four politicians accused of escalating the violence are being brought to trial, but the likelihood that everyone involved has been caught is not very reassuring. It was also reported that Police failed to respond to villagers in the past six months that said violence was imminent. If honest politics aren’t brought to the table, it will be nearly impossible for Kenya to hold elections or prevent a civil war.

Article Reference:
http://www.economist.com/blogs/baobab/2012/09/violence-kenya
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/sep/13/kenyan-tribal-clashes-116-dead

4 comments:

  1. The biggest problem with this conflict seems to be that with fighting happening in the Tana delta nobody gets to see the potential profits of the area. Since it is one of the most lucrative areas of investment for the country as a whole, the battle for land represents a disastrous missed opportunity for a country that needs to address widespread poverty with economic growth and stability. The use of clientalism by the politicians shows only their struggle to obtain personal power instead of wanting to see opportunities open up for the people fighting for the land. This means that people involved in governing the country are hindering potential growth and the potential for prosperity of the entire country.

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  2. Meghan-

    Its interesting that the violence is associated with elections, yet as you note, its the presence of resources that drives conflict. What then are the mechanisms driving conflict? Is it local conflict or is it elite manipulation of the conflict?

    I also have no idea why, but the link for your title looks rather strange when you look to at the list of titles.

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  3. I think the biggest issue driving the conflict is the use of the Tana delta, and it is more an elite manipulation problem than local...the government elites are pushing for the land to enhance tourism and conservation while supporting the wildlife population--this could be good for long term economic growth..the problem is that these pastoralists tribes have been living in the area for 100's of years. I think Kenya could benefit from what Tanzania did with the NCA (even though recently cultivation has been banned again)...maybe a split-area could be successful in Kenya. I think the pastoralists understand the government's need to promote tourism, they just have trouble understanding why they have the right to take it from them.

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  4. I also have no idea why the link looks weird in the list of titles haha

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